2023-24 SoCal Division Summer National Qualifiers

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, March 16, 2024 at 2:45 PM

Colina Middle School - Thousand Oaks, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 23% 5% < 1%
2 CHANG Nathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 75% 45% 17% 3%
3 GAUTHIER-PARKER Harrison 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61%
3 TSOI Spencer 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 36% 10% 1%
5 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 98% 90% 69% 39% 13% 2%
6 YORK Lucas 100% 99% 94% 76% 48% 20% 5% 1%
7 SIDDIQI Amman 100% 98% 89% 66% 35% 12% 2% -
8 WHARTON David 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 73% 40% 11%
9 MCCARVILL Cooper 100% 99% 94% 76% 46% 18% 4% -
10 MONTGOMERY Georgie 100% 97% 83% 55% 25% 7% 1% -
11 SMITH Jeremiah 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1% -
12 TURNER Finian 100% 96% 79% 49% 20% 5% 1% -
13 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 99% 92% 73% 42% 15% 3% -
14 AGUILAR Keops 100% 97% 84% 57% 27% 8% 1% -
15 ORNELAS Polo 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% - -
16 KAPLAN Richie 100% 96% 79% 49% 21% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.