Manhattan Fencing Center Saber Liberty Cup

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 2:30 PM

Manhattan Fencing Center - New York City, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
2 SUH Leo 100% 99% 82% 31% 3%
3 BEAL Colton 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
3 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
5 WONG Reagan 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
6 SEO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 92% 63% 20%
7 WEI Madison 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
8 HAHN Ever 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
9 MERZLYAKOV Vladimir 100% 99% 92% 61% 17% 1%
10 WEI Hunter 100% 84% 43% 9% 1% -
11 MITCHELL Lorne 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
12 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 98% 78% 39% 9% 1%
13 CHEN Kevin 100% 89% 47% 11% 1%
14 SPIELMAN Ren 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 13%
15 FRIEDMAN Marshall 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
16 ALUF Brendon 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
17 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
18 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 100% 100% 98% 77% 5%
19 SITU Adam 100% 62% 21% 4% - -
20 CHEN Anson 100% 97% 76% 40% 11% 1%
21 LI Sebastian 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
22 PENG Terence 100% 64% 17% 1% -
23 CHOI Ethan 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.