Bucks County Academy of Fencing - Lambertville, NJ, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | HORSLEY Asherah | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 2 | STRAYER Andrew | V V V D V V | V V V D | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| 3 | SCHLESINGER Nathan | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| 3 | BEAR Myles A. | D D D D V | V V V D | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| 5 | WILD Andrii | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 6 | PLASTARAS Trey | V V D D V V | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 7 | TRUBETSKI David | D V V V V D | V V D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 8 | ORCUTT Kevin | D V D D D V | V V | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| 9 | COTLAR Andrew D. | D V V V V V | V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 10 | HOLLIS Sean | V V V V D | V D | 1.6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| 11 | JANNEY Jonathan | V V V D V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 12 | KURPASKA Jonathan A. | V V D V D | V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 13 | GESENBERG Jonah S. | V D D V V | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 14 | COGSWELL Michael A. | V D V D V | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 15 | HECHT Joel | V D D D V V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 16 | NIECHWADOWICZ Michael | V D D V D D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 17 | WITTIG Jonathon T. | V D V V V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 18 | COSSROW Alex | V V V D D V | D | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| 19 | PECK Quinn | V V D V D V | D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 20 | TAM Kyle | D D V V V D | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 21 | TURDO Mark A. | D V D V D | D | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| 22 | POLEBOYINA Amrit | D V D D V | D | 0.5 | 2 | +1.5 |
| 23 | LAWLOR Lee | D V D V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 24 | SHICK Veronika | D V V D D D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 25 | STRAYER Cody | D D D V D V | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 26 | SHAH Rohan | D V D V D D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 27 | CULLEN Alyssa | D D V V D D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 28 | APANPA Simeon | D D V D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 29 | POLONI Giovanni | D D V D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 30 | ANGELOS Nico | D D D D D V | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 31 | CHRISTOPHER Nicholas | D D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 32 | MCGOVERN Vincent J. | D D D D D D | V D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 33 | ROJAS Elijah | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.