IFC 2024 Spring Classic

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Indianapolis Fencing Club - Indianapolis, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SLUSHER Gideon 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
2 MASSIMINO Andrew 100% 61% 18% 2% -
3 HICKEY Connor 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 18%
3 ARATA Connor 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
5 SMITH Erick 100% 99% 85% 45% 4%
6 MARCUS Peter 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
7 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 100% 99% 85% 35%
8 LAKAS Darius 100% 45% 10% 1% - -
9 MICK Gabriel 100% 82% 32% 6% < 1% -
10 DUNLAP Ian 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
11 KATZE Ashley 100% 99% 86% 45% 8%
12 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 91% 48% 12% 1% -
13 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 100% 97% 77% 32% 4%
14 BATES Austin 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
15 MALVESTUTO Evelyn 100% 47% 8% - - -
16 METZ Evan 100% 85% 38% 7% -
17 MUMFORD Josh 100% 99% 87% 40% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.