March SJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Walter E Washington Convention Center - Washington D.C, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
2 OH Triton - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
3 CHAVES Matthew J. - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 23%
3 WANG Nicolas - - 2% 17% 45% 36%
5 HUANG Ethan F. - - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
6 BROU Inkosi - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
7 PASTORE LIU Vince - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
8 VAID Luke - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
9 REN James - - 3% 21% 47% 30%
10 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
11 ERMAKOV Semeon - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
12 DALAL Rohan - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 6%
13 ZHAO Lucas 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
14 CHON Collin - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
15 YAN Kevin - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
16 CHEN Samuel - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
17 GUFFEY Christopher - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
18 MEHAN Nicholas - 1% 11% 34% 39% 13%
19 MEDVEDEV Michail D. - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
19 DENG Andrew - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
21 MATTOO Surya - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
21 HONG Steven - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
23 MICLAUS Justin - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
23 HWANG Jayden - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
25 CHIN Matthew W. - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
26 WILSON Jude - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
27 POFF Kainoa - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
28 MAKLIN Edward P. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
29 CHABENAT Guillaume 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
30 ZHANG Yupeng - 7% 30% 41% 20% 2%
31 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) - 1% 7% 26% 39% 24% 3%
32 KATZ Ryan - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
33 YAN William - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
34 RAMANAN Jaisimh - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
35 LIU Kevin - 2% 21% 44% 27% 5%
36 NG Jonathan - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
37 LEE Aydan J. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
38 SU Landon - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
39 ERMAKOV Lev - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
39 KIM ELIJAH - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
41 MATTOO Deven 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
42 HU Christopher - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
43 LEE Noah - 3% 20% 41% 31% 5%
44 HUANG Alex F. - - 3% 23% 47% 27%
45 RAMANAN Govind - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
46 PATEL Rayn - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
47 BYON Julian - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
48 FELDMAN Drew - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
49 LIN Steve 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
50 KIM Theodore 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
51 VAUGHN Jason 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
52 TIAGI George 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
53 CHTERENTAL Alex - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
54 PI Alexander - - 6% 29% 46% 19%
55 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
56 GONG zihao 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
57 NGUYEN Anthony 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
58 SHIPITSIN Alexander 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
59 KITSON Chase 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
60 NGO Maximus 1% 9% 41% 37% 11% 1%
61 PAN Alex - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
62 KUSHKOV Daniel - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
63 KOGAN Nikita 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
64 PRIEUR Christian F. 27% 46% 23% 3% - -
65 WANG Will - 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 1%
66 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 13%
67 HOTHA Nikhil - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
68 CHEONG Heonjun - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
69 ZENG Noah - 1% 7% 26% 44% 23%
70 CHAN Henry 6% 34% 40% 17% 3% -
71 BYON Adrian - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 5%
72 DECK Tyson - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
73 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) - 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
74 DOWNEY Baran 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
75 SUN Andrew 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
76 HUNG Samuel 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
77 FIELDS Matthew S. 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
78 PIWOWAR Alex - 2% 15% 43% 32% 7%
79 ANDRES Michael 1% 8% 31% 40% 18% 2%
80 WANG William 5% 22% 37% 28% 8% 1%
81 LIN Felix 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
82 GUREVICH Savely 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
83 WANG Max 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
83 YANG Dylan - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 7%
83 WANG Jerry 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
86 PORTER Dupree 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
87 SZULIM Lucjan 12% 40% 34% 12% 2% - -
88 GONG Jerry - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
89 SHANKAR Karthik 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
90 WANG HongXi 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
91 HUANG Maxwell H. 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
92 OH Aster 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
93 ZHENG LEON 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
94 MOYD Aaron 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
95 ZHEXUAN yu - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
96 MANESCU Miron 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
96 CHUNG Connor - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
98 KOTVALI Aneesh 25% 46% 24% 5% 1% - -
99 POSY Daniel - 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
100 ZHOU William 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
101 LIN Philip T. 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
102 CRAIN Bennett 21% 45% 28% 5% - -
103 BOLLU Viren 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
104 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
104 SUBA Lucas 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
106 CHEN Jonathan - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
107 ZHOU Grant 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
108 LAUB William 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
108 EYBELMAN Ariel 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 2% -
110 SIDDIQUI Shayan - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 5%
111 RYAN Kai 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
112 WANG Justin - 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 3%
112 CHAKRAVORTY Sohan 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
114 MAY Griffin M. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
115 FREDRICK Jameer 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
116 FANG Eason 11% 38% 39% 11% 1% -
117 CHAN Elliott 43% 48% 9% - - -
118 LIU ERIC 46% 42% 11% 1% - -
119 NARDINI Nathanael P. 2% 20% 41% 29% 8% 1%
120 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
121 HUROWITZ Max 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
122 BIVIJI Ali 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
123 SOKOLOV Arseniy 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
124 JONES Elijah 27% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
125 CARRINGTON IV William T. 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
126 GUREVICH Benjamin 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
127 KUSANAGI Soshi 32% 42% 21% 5% - - -
128 REHM Liam 21% 48% 25% 5% - -
129 LI Ayden 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
130 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
131 KOGAN Yelisey L. 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
132 ZHOU GUANLIN 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
133 KALOUDIS Sean 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
134 MCDONALD Finn 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
135 HENDERSON Lucas 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
136 KESSLER Nathan 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
137 KESSLER Josh 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
137 ZLATINSKI Jason 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
139 SIMMONS John M. 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
139 GONG Gavin 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
141 PINTO Marcus 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
142 VEDRE Neil 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
143 XU Ivan 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
144 SAVOY Luca - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
145 PARCELL Colby 30% 44% 21% 5% - - -
146 PEREIRA Beckham 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
147 HE Bowen 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
148 VILEMAITIS Tadas 34% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
148 SCHIMEL Luke 46% 41% 12% 2% - - -
150 BAHK Caleb 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
151 HU Harry 64% 31% 5% - - -
152 STRUCKER Rocco 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
153 JANUS Maksymilian 32% 45% 19% 4% - - -
154 ANTICO Lorenzo Sebastian 37% 50% 12% 1% - -
155 XU Justin 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.