The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing SYC /RJCC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, March 23, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Serena 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
2 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
3 WONG Sydney 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
5 AIRES Julia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 31%
6 CHEN Stephanie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 34%
7 WU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
8 HABEK Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
9 DYMAR Anna 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 23% 1%
10 FU Shannon 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 8%
11 LEE Yeriel 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
12 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
13 XU Jessica 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
14 MENDOZA zoie 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
15 ZHONG Evelyn 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
16 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 3%
17 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
18 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
19 YOUSSEF Caroline 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3%
20 LIN Isabel 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
21 ZHU Riley 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
22 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
23 XU Serena 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
24 MAI Mailan 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
25 ZHAO Emma 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
26 GAGARING Genia 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
27 BLAETZ Isadora 100% 100% 92% 64% 25% 4%
28 YUNG Bethany 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
29 HE Anna 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
30 MENDOZA TALAMANTES Lia 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
31 LI Yunxuan (Joy) 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
32 CHI Zoe 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
33 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 3%
34 OPERARIO Sofia Francesca 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 8%
35 MOHAN Riya 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 25% 2%
36 JAQUISH Zoey 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
37 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
38 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
39 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 10% 1%
40 KARTHIK Diya 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
41 ZHAO Yanning 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
42 UEMURA Lyllia 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
43 DWIGGINS Reese 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 21% 1%
44 SUN Karolyn 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 24% 3%
45 TREPANIER Georgina 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
46 LEE Adelynn 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
47 SALAZAR Emma 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
48 MAENG Gloria 100% 95% 60% 20% 3% -
49 CAYETANO Audrey 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
50 WANG Chantal 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
51 FU Ella 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
52 OLELE Ifechi 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
53 WANG Nicole 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
54 SCANLAN Alina Nev 100% 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
55 CHEONG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
56 KOU Cynthia 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
57 DENEALE Lucia 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
58 STOY Sophia 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
59 RADOV Una 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
60 GAN Shelby 100% 100% 91% 59% 21% 3%
61 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
62 KELLER Mia 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
63 LI Anna 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
64 YU Chloe 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
65 CHO Anya 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1% -
66 RAPTIS Layla 100% 98% 78% 37% 7% 1% -
67 HERD Angela 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% -
68 MENG Fina 100% 99% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
69 HALE Reagan 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
70 MERRIMAN Rie 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
71 SIDDABATHUNI ananya 100% 88% 45% 9% 1% - -
72 LI Carlie 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
73 BUDMAN Ava 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1%
74 REN Ivanka 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
75 KIM Vivian 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
76 GALLUP Elise 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
77 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
78 LINARES Olivia 100% 92% 54% 12% 1% - -
79 ZU Jacqueline 100% 76% 29% 6% 1% - -
80 CHO Jacey 100% 91% 55% 17% 2% - -
81 PAK Ella 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
82 LI Jessica 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
83 YAN Yuzi 100% 17% 1% - - - -
84 CHENIER Amelia 100% 49% 12% 1% - -
85 WANG Ailly 100% 34% 5% - - - -
86 YOON Claire 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
87 LIFE Bellneu 100% 29% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.