Star Pre Competitive Challenge

Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 24, 2024 at 11:30 AM

NEEDHAM, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 100% 100% 94% 62% 9%
2 SFINTESCU Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 5%
3 LU Hansen 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
3 SUN Nathan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
5 LIU Eric 100% 99% 90% 56% 15% 1%
6 ZHAO David 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% < 1%
7 SFINTESCU Emma 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
8 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 5%
9 WU Alexander 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
10 KAO Chris 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 26%
11 HU Weijie 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 10% 1%
12 ARNOULD Frederick 100% 97% 75% 35% 7% 1%
13 CHEUNG Jayden 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
14 ALIMI Mousa 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
15 TIAN Dylan 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% -
16 ZHU Audrey 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 8%
17 WU yixin 100% 71% 25% 4% - -
18 LUO Lucy 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 9%
19 KHAN Aayan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
20 WOODWORTH Desmond 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 7%
21 RONG Alice 100% 100% 94% 67% 24% 2%
22 CHAE Thomas Woojin 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 4%
23 THYS Matthias 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
24 ZHONG Albert 100% 100% 95% 59% 18% 2%
25 ZHANG Caleb 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% -
26 GACS Oliver 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
27 HUANG Alec 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
28 DUAN Desmond 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
29 THYS Alexander 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
30 CHEN Yichao 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 5% -
31 JIA Emily 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% -
32 QIAO Emily 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.