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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LAVIN Ulises	-	-	1%	10%	39%	50%
2	KO Zuriel	-	-	1%	7%	25%	41%	25%
3	HAMMERS Neel	-	2%	19%	42%	31%	5%
3	BOSITA Carson	-	-	-	1%	8%	35%	56%
5	HUBLALL Ethan	-	-	-	1%	10%	38%	51%
6	ZLATINSKI Jason	-	2%	12%	32%	37%	17%
7	VEDRE Neil	-	-	5%	20%	39%	30%	6%
8	BOLLU Viren	1%	7%	26%	37%	23%	6%	-
9	MCDANIEL Luke	-	3%	16%	33%	32%	14%	2%
10	RAY Evan	6%	26%	36%	23%	7%	1%	-
11	MEADE Liam R.	2%	17%	37%	32%	11%	1%
12	HUANG Caleb	-	5%	22%	37%	28%	7%
13	NAMBIAR Navin	1%	11%	30%	35%	18%	3%
14	SALMAN Hamzah	-	2%	15%	40%	34%	9%
15	XUE Leo	-	7%	35%	41%	16%	2%
16	ZHU Shirui	-	2%	18%	41%	32%	7%
17	KERCHER Alexander	-	-	4%	24%	45%	26%
18	ZHOU James Y.	-	1%	9%	32%	41%	16%
18	SEALE Cougar	-	3%	19%	44%	28%	5%
20	KITSON Chase	-	-	3%	18%	45%	34%
21	WILKINSON James	-	-	6%	28%	44%	21%
22	RIESTERER Jacob	-	4%	19%	34%	29%	11%	2%
23	LIU Daniel	1%	8%	27%	37%	22%	5%	-
24	KWON Kenneth	-	1%	7%	22%	36%	28%	8%
25	LE Long	-	3%	16%	34%	33%	13%	1%
26	KOTVALI Aneesh	-	2%	12%	31%	36%	17%	2%
27	BARROWS Hunter	1%	8%	27%	35%	22%	6%	1%
28	LIU Guanyu	7%	46%	36%	10%	1%	-
29	WOLFFE Eduardo	72%	25%	3%	-	-	-
30	MARGULIS Jared	-	2%	11%	30%	37%	18%	2%
31	ALI Yosef	3%	18%	35%	30%	12%	2%	-
32	OBEID Zaky	3%	26%	46%	22%	4%	-
33	REILLEY Brogan	49%	43%	8%	1%	-	-
34	JOHANSEN Edward	2%	18%	41%	30%	8%	1%
35	POTDAR Aryan	2%	16%	36%	32%	12%	2%
36	LAVALLE Lincoln	6%	40%	40%	13%	2%	-
37	NELSON Jake	2%	17%	36%	32%	11%	1%	-
38	WANG Brian	32%	42%	21%	5%	1%	-	-
38	ROSS Joe	6%	28%	39%	21%	5%	-	-
40	SENTHIL Gatik	66%	30%	4%	-	-	-
41	SANTIAGO Roman	24%	44%	26%	6%	1%	-	-
41	KAYITHI Nikhil	43%	41%	14%	2%	-	-	-
43	POLISETTI Pranav	29%	53%	16%	2%	-	-
44	WELCH Elijah	36%	44%	17%	3%	-	-
45	TALLEY Blake	13%	39%	33%	13%	2%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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