Fortune Fencing SYC /RJCC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 24, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Sean 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
2 HUA Nolan 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 14%
3 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
3 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
5 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
6 JU Shang 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
7 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
8 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 3%
9 WU MiEr 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
10 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
11 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 17%
12 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 13%
13 LI Stephen 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
14 GUO Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
15 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
16 LIN Bryan 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
17 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
18 MA kevin 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
18 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
20 ZHAO Luke 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
21 YOON Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
22 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
23 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21% 2%
24 LI Bryan 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
25 YI Alexander 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
26 LIU Zihao 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
27 FU Benjamin 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
28 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
29 PARK Sean 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
30 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
31 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
32 SHIH Derek 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
33 AZAMOV Saeed-Azeem 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
34 CHU Clayton 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
35 YANG Gavin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
36 YOON Ian 100% 81% 42% 11% 2% - -
37 LU Jayden 100% 82% 44% 15% 3% - -
38 CHO Lincoln 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
39 CHI Zachary 100% 97% 82% 49% 19% 4% -
40 YANG Rony 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
41 DOROSHENKO Konstantin Michael 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
42 TIAN Dylan 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
43 LI Vance 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
44 PINCHUK Spencer 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
45 IM Mason 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
46 BAEK Joel 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
47 ZHANG Jenson 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
48 KIM Benjamin 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2% -
49 YANG Xinrui 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
50 BUSH Andrew 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
51 LIU Zeyar 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
52 DUCOURNAU Enzo 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
53 HONG Eason 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
54 SI Alexander 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
55 WON Jacob 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
56 HILU Jonathan 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
57 YANG Orsen 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
58 YANG Kevin 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
59 LI Jacob 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
60 YOU Emmanuel 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
61 TENG Eric 100% 93% 67% 31% 9% 1% -
62 CHAUDHARY Oliver 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
63 ZHAO Jonathan Li 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
64 WANG Franklin 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
65 SHENG Ben 100% 80% 42% 14% 2% - -
66 GAN Samuel 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% - -
67 LEE Daniel 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
68 MORRIS Blake 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
69 ZHANG William 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.