Pre-comp Challenge Day 03.27.24

Mixed Épée

Wednesday, March 27, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Redmond, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 LI Timothy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
2 JONES Colby 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 7% 1%
4 MERRIMAN Rie 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
5 AMIRAULT Amy 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
6 KNAPP Sebastian 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 4% -
7 RICHARDS Kimberly 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 39% 13% 2% -
8 GARCIA Riley 100% 98% 88% 65% 35% 12% 3% -
9 BENCH Melody 100% 90% 59% 25% 7% 1% - - -
10 AMIRAULT Jacob 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.