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Cadet Women's Épée

Saturday, March 30, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	QI Julieanne	-	-	1%	7%	24%	42%	27%
2	MEYER Rachel	-	3%	13%	33%	36%	15%
3	SMOTRITSKY Liat	-	-	2%	10%	28%	40%	21%
3	LI Caroline	-	3%	15%	35%	35%	13%
5	BRAGG Leah	-	1%	6%	23%	38%	26%	6%
6	BOROTKO Katerina	-	5%	22%	39%	28%	6%
7	CHEN Alina	1%	10%	31%	37%	18%	3%
8	WEI Sherry	1%	7%	23%	36%	27%	7%
9	KAUR Manroop	-	3%	20%	47%	26%	4%
10	BI Michelle	1%	5%	21%	37%	28%	8%
11	NGUYEN Ashley L.	-	1%	8%	26%	41%	24%
12	YU Eva	-	4%	17%	34%	31%	12%	2%
13	MEYER Rebecca	3%	15%	33%	33%	15%	2%
14	CHI Sarah	13%	34%	34%	16%	4%	-
15	HOAGLAND Sally	-	4%	18%	36%	32%	10%
16	WU Madisen	10%	30%	35%	19%	5%	-
17	YAO Chloe	1%	9%	28%	37%	21%	4%
18	WONG Angelina	9%	32%	38%	18%	4%	-
19	MIN Melinda	-	-	4%	18%	35%	32%	10%
20	BAWA Jenya	-	3%	16%	33%	32%	14%	2%
21	FANG Jocelyn	-	2%	11%	30%	39%	18%
22	WANG Chloe	2%	15%	36%	34%	12%	1%
23	HAN Yuchen	-	1%	5%	20%	41%	33%
24	TRAN Katherine	1%	7%	27%	38%	22%	4%
25	JUN Bomie	-	4%	19%	39%	29%	8%	1%
26	TRIEU Autumn	-	1%	8%	25%	37%	24%	5%
27	WONG Caitlin	-	-	3%	18%	42%	36%
28	HU Chloe	8%	32%	37%	18%	4%	-
29	WROBEL Julia	1%	11%	30%	36%	19%	4%
30	LIN Cynthia	23%	44%	26%	6%	1%	-
31	ZHANG Jane	4%	20%	35%	29%	10%	1%
32	CHANG Cadence	40%	41%	15%	3%	-	-
33	ZHENG Erin	6%	31%	38%	20%	5%	1%	-
34	HALL Henrietta	17%	40%	31%	10%	2%	-
35	LEE Claudia	16%	40%	32%	11%	2%	-	-
36	KWON Elise	1%	10%	29%	35%	20%	5%	1%
37	FANG jenna kim	11%	34%	36%	15%	3%	-
38	MATHEW Noe	27%	44%	23%	5%	1%	-
39	LEUNG Sydney	21%	41%	28%	8%	1%	-
40	XU Hua	27%	43%	23%	6%	1%	-	-
41	NGUYEN Celena	2%	15%	35%	32%	13%	3%	-
42	YU Sara	55%	35%	8%	1%	-	-	-
43	GARCIA Daniela	2%	15%	35%	34%	13%	2%
44	LIN Chloe	2%	29%	42%	22%	5%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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