Premier Challenge ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC & PARA

Div I-A Women's Épée

Saturday, March 30, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GU Sarah 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
2 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
3 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 47%
3 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
5 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
6 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
7 SONG Angela 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
8 BASRALIAN Azniv 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
9 KHARCHYNA Polina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
10 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
11 BUECHEL Holly M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
12 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
13 WANG Trinity 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
14 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 7%
15 JOYAL Anne-Sophie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
16 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
17 CHOY LeeAnn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 34%
18 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
19 GUJJA Misha 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 29% 4%
20 CAI Yiyi (Phoebe) 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
21 GAO Judy 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
22 SEREGIN Katya 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
23 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24% 2%
24 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
25 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
26 HONG Elaine 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
27 LI Fei 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
28 SMUK Daria A. 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 18% 2%
29 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
30 LIANG Jingjing 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11% 1%
31 CAMPBELL Anahit M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
32 KAUR Manroop 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
33 SMOTRITSKY Liat 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% < 1%
34 DAVIS Jessica L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
35 XIAO Nancy 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
36 SHU Youshan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
37 AI Amy 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 16%
38 HUREL Bertille 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
39 WESER Veronica U. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
40 LURYE Lina 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
41 WANG Yumin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
42 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 4% -
43 FURMAN Maria 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
44 AZMEH Nour 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
45 LI Olivia 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
46 CHUNG Penelope 100% 98% 83% 49% 14% 1% -
47 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
48 CAVNAR Peyton 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
49 CASHMAN Amanda 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
50 WONG Caitlin 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
51 HAN Claire 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
52 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
53 HICKS Grace 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% 1%
54 TRAN Helena 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
55 POLANICHKA Nicole 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 8%
56 FENG Iris 100% 98% 81% 41% 9% 1% -
57 SHANKERDAS Shreeya 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
58 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 98% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
59 DAGLI Saira Veronica 100% 69% 23% 3% - - -
60 CHEN Jingyun 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
60 COLELLA Lauren 100% 62% 21% 4% - -
62 CHANG Chloe 100% 78% 34% 8% 1% - -
63 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
64 CHEN Alicia 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
65 SHEFFIELD Skye 100% 95% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
66 FAN Elizabeth 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
67 UNGURIANU Nika 100% 99% 88% 53% 14% 1% -
68 MCSWEENEY Janie 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
69 YOU Isabel B. 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
70 BI Michelle 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% - -
71 MIN Melinda 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
72 BISEN Shivani S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
73 YU Eva 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
74 LIN Victoria T. 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
75 SANLIKOL Suzan 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
76 ZHANG ANGELA 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
77 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
77 ELKHATEEB Fajr 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
79 BYRON Karen J. 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1% -
80 CONNOLLY Natasha 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
81 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
82 JENSEN MJ 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
82 WROBEL Julia 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
84 TOLLEY Toby 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
85 GORDET Cristina G. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
86 FOMINA Polina 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
87 DUNNE Jessica 100% 75% 28% 4% - - -
88 WUNDERLICH Cara J. 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
88 MASTRONARDI Laura 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
90 DANNHAUSER Carol A. 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.