Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, March 30, 2024 at 11:00 AM

University of California - Davis - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WONG Natalie 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
2 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 TONG Laurie 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 15%
3 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
5 MISHEV Lila 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 10%
6 DUFF Caitlin 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 2%
7 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
8 CHANG Annette 100% 100% 94% 66% 26% 4%
9 MORINAGA Mirai 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% -
10 CORD Sophia 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 7%
11 HWANG Charlotte 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
12 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
13 MERRITT Annabelle 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
14 ARVIND Heera 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
15 ZOFFEL Gabriela 100% 87% 37% 8% 1% -
16 HSU Aubrie 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
17 AHMED Jennah 100% 75% 30% 6% - -
18 PARK Gian 100% 37% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.