Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, March 30, 2024 at 1:00 PM

University of California - Davis - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
2 XU Serena 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 BUCA Nora 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
3 LIN Isabel 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
5 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
6 GILLIS-PADE Neallie 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
7 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
8 FU Shannon 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
9 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
10 YUNG Bethany 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 6%
11 BLANCO Ariia 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
12 SALAZAR Emma 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
13 MENG Fina 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1%
14 CHI Zoe 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
15 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
16 ZHAO Ellie 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% -
17 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
18 LEE Valerie 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
19 ZHANG Helen 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
20 LI Yunxuan (Joy) 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
21 LI Anna 100% 97% 79% 47% 16% 2%
22 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
23 RADOV Una 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
24 LEE Emma 100% 94% 69% 31% 8% 1%
25 CHO Jacey 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
26 PACHECO Carys 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1%
27 BUDMAN Ava 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
28 MADANNAVAR Trisha 100% 96% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
29 DYMAR Anna 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
30 ZHAO Emma 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 6%
31 SUN Karolyn 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
32 JAIN Prisha 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
33 CHANG Allison 100% 86% 45% 12% 1% -
34 ZHANG Rose 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
35 LE Luana 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
36 PADHI Nisha 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
37 ZU Jacqueline 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.