Texas Clash RJCC in Dallas

Junior Women's Épée

Saturday, September 14, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Carrollton, TX - Carrollton, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M.	-	-	1%	9%	39%	52%
2	WANG Elizabeth	-	-	4%	20%	43%	34%
3	WANG Karen	-	1%	10%	32%	39%	17%
3	LEE Michelle J.	-	2%	17%	38%	33%	10%
5	ORTEGA Ivanna S.	-	1%	6%	24%	43%	27%
6	BALAKRISHNAN Monica S.	-	3%	21%	39%	29%	7%
7	LIU Christina A.	-	4%	21%	39%	29%	6%
8	MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu)	-	5%	21%	38%	29%	7%
9	PARKER Allegra H.	-	3%	16%	36%	35%	9%
10	PATEL Aditi S.	7%	30%	38%	20%	5%	-
11	RUNIONS Emersyn	1%	7%	24%	37%	25%	6%
12	GRESHAM Rebekah L.	-	4%	18%	36%	32%	10%
13	GRESHAM Sarah L.	-	2%	15%	35%	35%	13%
14	LIM Clarice	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	15%
15	MEHROTRA Anya	-	3%	18%	37%	32%	10%
16	GITHENS Gracyn J.	2%	17%	38%	32%	11%	1%
17	ZHU-HILL Alice A.	5%	23%	39%	26%	7%	-
18	LARA ORTIZ VALERIA	-	3%	19%	39%	31%	8%
19	TAYLOR Kiera S.	2%	19%	38%	30%	10%	1%
20	CAVNAR Peyton	11%	35%	36%	15%	3%	-
21	YU Bailey	8%	38%	38%	14%	2%	-
22	FILIPPOV Nika D.	1%	13%	35%	36%	13%	1%
23	PALMER Amelia C.	10%	31%	36%	18%	4%	-
24	DRONAMRAJU Navya	3%	49%	36%	10%	1%	-
25	FRIPP Rebecca	19%	41%	29%	9%	1%	-
26	HUNTER Madison	7%	33%	39%	18%	3%	-
27	CHUNG Sohee	43%	43%	13%	2%	-	-
28	DAVIS Audrey	49%	39%	11%	1%	-	-
29	KISHORE Shalini	28%	42%	23%	5%	-	-
30	GHOSH Mohana	90%	9%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.