Premier Challenge ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC & PARA

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 11:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
2 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
3 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
3 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
5 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 9%
6 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
7 SEMEL Liana M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
8 SHEN Emilia 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
9 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
10 ZHENG Julie 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
11 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
12 LI Eleanor 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 4%
13 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 16%
14 LI Shuang 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 5%
15 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 8%
16 CASCONE Emily 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
17 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
18 ASCHETTINO Aurora 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 9%
19 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
20 LI Rachel Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
21 WHELAN Amelia 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
22 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38% 6%
23 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
24 HAO Danica 100% 100% 98% 81% 40% 9% 1%
25 WEI Angela 100% 100% 95% 66% 20% 2% -
26 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
27 WANG Yudi 100% 98% 75% 33% 6% - -
28 DONG Angela 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
29 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 99% 84% 46% 13% 1%
30 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
31 LEVY Avery 100% 87% 52% 17% 2% -
32 FENG Audrey 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
33 ZHANG Selena 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
34 SEIDL Cassidy M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
35 SHA Yi Ling 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
35 MEI Sarah 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
37 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
38 WU Renee 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
39 YU Jane 100% 99% 90% 56% 17% 2% -
40 LIU Eva 100% 96% 65% 23% 3% - -
41 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29% 3%
42 CHENG Isa 100% 97% 75% 28% 4% - -
43 WANG Annie 100% 85% 39% 9% 1% - -
44 MARKOVSKY Nina 100% 90% 59% 21% 4% -
45 SHIM Grace J. 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
46 MING YUE 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
47 MEYER Claudia 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
48 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
49 GREEN Marisa 100% 99% 90% 49% 13% 2% -
50 LAO Sophia 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
51 LI Han (Helina) 100% 86% 41% 10% 1% -
52 WANG Chloe 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
52 YANG Emma 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
54 SONG Jenna 100% 49% 10% 1% - -
54 BABIAC Julia 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
56 GE Yu Ming 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
57 SAKALLA Serene 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
58 FONG Ellis 100% 75% 25% 3% - - -
59 SHAH Suhani 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
60 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 76% 21% 2% - - -
61 FANG Adela 100% 44% 6% - - - -
62 LIU Long 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
63 TURNER Stephanie E. 100% 97% 78% 41% 10% 1%
64 MCDERMOTT Catherine 100% 58% 13% 1% - - -
65 CHAKRAPANI Ila 100% 32% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.