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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Premier Challenge ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC & PARA

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NATH Trisha - - - - 2% 21% 77%
2 DAI Olivia - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
3 LUKER Sophia - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
3 TENG EMMA - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
5 KHAN Alissa - - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
6 ZHANG Sophie - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
7 HU Anna - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
8 LOO Kaitlyn - 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
9 BIRNSTILL Reese - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 1%
10 BUSH Bethany - 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 1%
11 CROOKS Riley - - 5% 22% 41% 27% 5%
12 VINOKUR Anita - - 2% 13% 37% 38% 10%
13 MERCHANT Aishwarya - 2% 13% 33% 38% 14%
14 BROWN Aria 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
15 BORGUETA Madison 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
16 KIM Audrey 8% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
17 SCOTT Eve - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
18 SHMULER Fiona 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
19 MCGRAW Sadie 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
20 DAMBAL Sasha - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
21 MANKOVA Varvara - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
22 HUANG Doris 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
23 LIM Alexa J. 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% -
24 LIU Kelly 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
25 MACKAY Katherine 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
26 BAINS Nandini 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
27 KWON Ava 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
28 MAK Kaitlin 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
29 BAIK Sarah 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
30 LI Sonia 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
31 ONG Lauren 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
32 PASUPULETI Laya 11% 38% 34% 14% 3% - -
33 HORVITZ Jacqueline 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
34 LOURENCO Alexandra 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
35 KANDADAI Lara 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
36 ZHAN Sophie - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
37 NAYAK Esha 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
38 KALISHMAN Anna 2% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
39 LEOU Korina - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
40 PRESANTH Nandana 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
41 YOUNG Audrey - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
42 WONG Charlene 1% 13% 35% 36% 13% 2% -
43 STRIZHEVSKY Ariel 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
44 GUHA Surabhi 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
45 BARROSO Isabela 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
46 CHI Claire - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
47 LEE Kaitlin 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
48 GETZONI Mary 50% 37% 11% 2% - - -
49 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
50 ALAMI Amira 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
51 PARK Haylie 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
52 NEUMAN Ella 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
53 ERBSEN Sarah 9% 36% 38% 15% 2% - -
54 VATS Ishita 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
55 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
56 GENTILE Vittoria 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
57 NAYAK Antara 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
58 SIMMONS Kinley 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.