Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 1:00 PM

University of California - Davis - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
2 LUO Miranda 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
3 CHAN Mila 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 37%
3 LIU Ariana 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 9%
5 PENG Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
6 THERON Zoe 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
7 NEUMANN Erika 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 7%
8 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
9 LEE Zoe 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
10 MIYASHIRO Katelyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
11 HSIAO Ariya 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 2%
12 HOM Avery 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 7%
13 ZHOU Joi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 31%
14 KIM Erin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
15 CHAN Ella 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 3%
16 DING Madison 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6%
17 MATTUPALLI Ashwika 100% 100% 99% 85% 40% 7%
18 ZHANG Gwenyth 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
19 MA Isabelle 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
20 LIU Isabelle 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 8% 1%
21 HSU Emily 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
22 YU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 23%
23 CHO Karis 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27% 2%
24 HOFFMAN Isabelle 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
25 OTAEGI Elorri 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
26 TAN Shouyin 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3%
27 ARYA Leela 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% -
28 TAI Taphanie 100% 75% 32% 6% 1% -
29 LI Sophia 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 5%
30 AHN Hayley 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
31 ZHANG Queeny 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
32 MANANSALA Zara 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
33 YU-TAN Claire 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -
34 TANG Amelia 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 3% -
35 HO Chloe 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
36 BHANGOO Paloma 100% 54% 10% 1% - -
37 DVOIRIS Maya 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1%
38 LEE Abigail 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
39 KULKARNI myra 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
40 SARANGAN Ovia 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% - -
41 STERNAD Pia 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
42 HOFFMAN Amelia 100% 76% 25% 3% - -
43 HSU Rachel 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
44 LIM Stella 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% - -
45 WANG Ellen 100% 81% 37% 7% 1% - -
46 PARK Seojeong 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
47 YU Xintong 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
48 HUGHES Bailey 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
49 ZHAN Catherine 100% 85% 46% 13% 1% -
50 YANG Byanca 100% 34% 5% - - -
51 JOESUF Aurielle 100% 97% 73% 22% 3% -
52 ARAKELYAN Marina 100% 100% 87% 43% 7% - -
53 MARCHIEL Ava 100% 100% 80% 36% 7% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.