Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, April 6, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
2 BAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
3 ROPER F. Elijah 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
3 HU Jayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 1%
5 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
6 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
7 NGO Emerson 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
8 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
9 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
10 CHANG Timothy 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 4%
11 MHLEY Gavin 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 4%
12 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
13 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 91% 71% 38% 10%
14 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39% 8%
15 SUBA Mason 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
16 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 21% 3%
17 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
18 SAGE Nikolai 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
19 BROOKS Drake 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
20 ORIE Sohan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
21 MALEK Zak 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
22 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
23 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
24 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 12%
25 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
26 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
27 LEE Blake 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2%
28 LEVY Daniel 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
29 YI Andrew 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
30 ZHANG Howard 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
31 SUH Leo 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
32 MELE Gianni 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 6% -
33 CLARK Dwayne 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
34 LIU Jayden 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
35 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
36 WEI Hunter 100% 99% 91% 69% 38% 12% 2%
37 RIVERATAN Darshan 100% 98% 86% 60% 28% 8% 1%
38 YAO John 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
39 WONG Reagan 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
40 KOREN George 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
41 CHAN Ewan 100% 98% 85% 58% 27% 7% 1%
41 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
43 TITOV Zachary 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
44 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
45 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
46 MERZLYAKOV VLadimir 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
47 LEIGH Brayden 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
48 EARLEY Jack 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2% -
49 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
50 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
51 VISH Manyu 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
52 CHERNAEV Antonio 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
53 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
54 CHAN Brady 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% -
55 PARK Sean 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
56 NEST Jake 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38% 5%
57 BRADY Jack 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 4% -
58 CHEN Anson 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
59 MOTOV Max 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
60 FRANCOIS Gabriel 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
61 STOLCKE Julian 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
62 LI Jayden 100% 89% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
63 XUE Conghuan 100% 74% 33% 9% 1% - -
64 FAVO Christopher 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
65 YURCISIN Harrison 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 29% 6%
66 ZHAO Alexander 100% 100% 92% 61% 20% 2% -
67 BLAIR Campbell 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
68 ZHANG Weihang 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
68 CHEN Mark 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
70 HE Nolan 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
71 MAKLIN David 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
72 PARK Layne 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
73 GAIDA Ashton 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2%
74 KOREN David 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
75 SEARS Max 100% 42% 6% - - - -
76 CHEN Kevin 100% 87% 47% 13% 2% - -
77 MCCOY Elias 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
78 ZHAO Owen 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
79 RISMAN Edward 100% 99% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
80 DAI Ethan 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 2% -
81 GAO Francis 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
82 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 94% 72% 39% 14% 3% -
83 LONGCORE Daniel 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
83 DY Azriel 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
85 ZHANG Mark 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
86 SMITH Jackson 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
87 TANJGA Luka 100% 86% 50% 18% 4% - -
88 FIROOZI Alex 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -
89 BLACK Bauer 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
90 CARR Silas 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
91 KROLOFF Ben 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2% -
91 HOFFMAN Graham 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
93 WANG Harrison 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
94 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% - -
94 LEE Jeffrey 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
96 SONG Jerry 100% 98% 88% 63% 32% 9% 1%
97 CHENG Shane 100% 82% 31% 5% - - -
98 GAYTAN Antonio 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.