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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	CHAMBERS Miles	-	-	-	1%	7%	33%	59%
2	CHEN Lucas	-	-	4%	20%	42%	33%
3	HWANG Hagan	-	-	1%	7%	23%	41%	28%
3	LUCAS William	-	1%	8%	25%	36%	24%	6%
5	SRIVATSAV Ishaan	-	2%	14%	37%	36%	11%	1%
6	MIAO Heqi	1%	7%	23%	35%	25%	8%	1%
7	LI Huangziyue	-	5%	20%	37%	30%	7%
8	SO Morgan	-	3%	14%	33%	34%	14%	1%
9	RAVOOR Suvir	1%	6%	21%	34%	27%	10%	1%
10	YUEN Caleb	-	1%	7%	22%	35%	27%	8%
11	SRIVATSAV Anay	-	3%	15%	31%	32%	16%	3%
12	LIU Jeremy	-	1%	6%	21%	35%	28%	9%
13	SHAPIRO Leo	3%	19%	41%	29%	8%	1%
14	SONG Aidan	-	-	2%	10%	30%	39%	19%
15	KANIA Alexander	-	1%	5%	18%	35%	32%	11%
16	CHEN Leo	-	5%	21%	35%	27%	10%	1%
17	AVERY Marcus	2%	13%	30%	32%	18%	5%	-
18	LI Ryan	-	3%	17%	33%	31%	14%	2%
19	LU Simon	1%	7%	23%	34%	25%	9%	1%
20	O'KEEFE Brody	16%	38%	32%	12%	2%	-
21	MARCISZ Maksym	13%	37%	34%	14%	2%	-	-
22	LI kevin	3%	17%	35%	30%	13%	2%	-
23	BUCKLEY Owen	-	3%	15%	31%	32%	15%	2%
24	SINGH Ekam	1%	9%	30%	37%	20%	4%	-
25	PEARL Gavin	42%	40%	15%	3%	-	-	-
26	CRACCHIOLO Augustino	-	4%	18%	34%	31%	11%	1%
27	ARGEMI Ot	2%	16%	38%	32%	10%	1%
28	KIRK Donovan	1%	22%	40%	28%	9%	1%	-
29	BOSEK Daniel	2%	14%	33%	33%	15%	3%	-
30	DENG Keith	7%	33%	37%	18%	4%	1%	-
31	BOSEK David	9%	31%	36%	19%	5%	-
32	THOMAS Tre	20%	40%	29%	10%	2%	-	-
33	KAAKEH Taim	56%	35%	8%	1%	-	-	-
34	HUANG Lucas	32%	43%	20%	4%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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