Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, April 7, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 98% 84% 43% 1%
2 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
3 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
3 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
5 ZHAO Brandon 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
6 CHIANG William 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
7 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
8 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
9 DAI Jason 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
10 CHEN Hayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
11 SHI Peyton 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
12 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
13 YOU Emmanuel 100% 92% 58% 19% 2%
14 LU Tori 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
15 ZHENG Jasper 100% 99% 87% 51% 11%
16 APOSTOL Matthew Krystian 100% 63% 21% 3% - -
17 IMBERG Matthew 100% 92% 59% 17% 2% -
18 YOON Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
19 YAO Irvine 100% 93% 62% 21% 2% -
20 HWANG Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 25%
21 LI Nolan 100% 96% 74% 34% 6% -
22 CHEN Regis 100% 93% 62% 22% 3%
24 BRISTOL COLTON JOASH 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
25 ZHANG Jacob 100% 60% 17% 2% -
26 BACON Bryce 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14%
27 ZHEN Maxwell 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
27 KIM Brendan 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
29 MILLER Brodrick 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
30 KO Ethan 100% 99% 83% 44% 11% 1%
31 LEE Zachariah 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
32 ZHU David 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
33 HWANG Chase 100% 76% 33% 6% - -
34 CHAN Seanan 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
35 LIN Aiden 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
36 AU Wesley 100% 99% 82% 36% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.