NEUSFA D2/3/Vet Qualifiers

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, April 7, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
2 ECKERT Kevin M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 32%
3 QUINLAN Sean 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65% 13%
3 SHONEMAN Sam 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 28% 3%
5 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19%
6 THOMPSON Ian 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
7 DOWD Peter L. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
8 KAIN Brad 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
9 SMITH Troy H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 50%
10 MARSHALL William L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
11 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8%
12 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 79% 34% 7% - -
13 WHITE Aidan 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% -
14 HU Jansen T. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
15 MASSE Dean 100% 81% 35% 7% - - -
16 YIN Chujun 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
17 KELLEY Hayden 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
18 GLUSHKOV David 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
19 WALTING Paul J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
20 MASSE Jack 100% 94% 67% 26% 4% -
21 MORI Seneca 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
22 MECHREFE Anthony 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
23 URBANOWICZ Mathias 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
24 ERIKSEN Casey 100% 98% 78% 32% 6% - -
25 SONG Changze 100% 99% 87% 50% 11% 1%
26 KIM Nathan 100% 91% 53% 16% 2% -
27 REINEKE Gerhard 100% 95% 62% 23% 4% -
28 MULLARKEY Edward (Ed) 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 21%
29 YEE Charles E. 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 21%
30 EGHIAN Armen 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
31 GU Eric 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
32 ZHOU Anping 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
33 HIGGINS Paul 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
34 LIN ZICHEN 100% 67% 22% 3% - - -
35 BOWSER Jacob 100% 96% 71% 32% 7% -
36 LONADIER Robert 100% 76% 32% 6% - -
37 DAGLI Sai 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.