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2024 OFC High Standard Epee Tournament

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, April 7, 2024 at 1:00 PM

OLYMPIC FENCERS CLUB - Johns Creek, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
1	YANAMANDRA Sidhansh	-	-	4%	14%	29%	33%	17%	3%
2	KULIKOWSKI Adam	-	-	-	-	2%	12%	38%	49%
3	PAYNE Gareth	-	-	1%	4%	16%	33%	34%	13%
3	LIN Kason	-	-	-	-	4%	19%	41%	36%
5	NGUYEN Hubert	-	-	1%	7%	21%	35%	28%	8%
6	ZHANG Eric	-	-	1%	7%	22%	36%	27%	7%
7	HWANG Brandon	1%	7%	21%	32%	26%	11%	2%	-
8	ZHOU alex	1%	6%	19%	32%	27%	12%	3%	-
9	NGUYEN Audrey	-	1%	7%	22%	34%	25%	9%	1%
10	CUI Jack	-	-	1%	5%	18%	34%	31%	11%
11	KUCIA Michael	-	1%	4%	13%	26%	31%	20%	5%
12	JUNG Elliot	-	1%	5%	20%	34%	28%	10%	1%
13	TAM Ethan	-	2%	9%	21%	30%	25%	11%	2%
14	KWON Jason	-	-	3%	16%	33%	32%	14%	2%
15	WRIGHT Alex	-	-	4%	16%	33%	31%	13%	2%
16	PARK Andrew	2%	11%	27%	32%	20%	7%	1%	-
17	JEONG Arisu	-	1%	9%	28%	35%	21%	6%	-
18	FAN Yuchen	-	1%	6%	20%	33%	28%	11%	2%
19	REDDY Daksh	3%	16%	31%	29%	15%	4%	1%	-
20	WEBB Jacob	-	-	-	1%	7%	25%	41%	25%
21	DAVIDENKO Alexander	-	1%	7%	20%	33%	28%	11%	1%
22	ILENRE Roni	7%	23%	32%	24%	11%	3%	-	-
23	BEDULLA Asher	3%	15%	31%	32%	16%	4%	-	-
24	KRIEGER Jack	-	-	1%	7%	25%	38%	25%	5%
25	PATEL Krishiv	1%	5%	16%	29%	29%	16%	5%	1%
25	LEE Sean	11%	38%	36%	13%	2%	-	-	-
27	CHOI David	2%	15%	31%	31%	16%	4%	-	-
28	PETE Landon	2%	14%	31%	31%	16%	4%	1%	-
29	IYER Arjun	9%	27%	34%	21%	7%	1%	-	-
30	LIU Elinda	-	3%	13%	28%	31%	19%	6%	1%
31	KIM Sangone	20%	39%	29%	11%	2%	-	-	-
32	HWANG Aidan	1%	5%	16%	28%	28%	16%	5%	1%
33	TAK Jemi	4%	20%	34%	27%	12%	2%	-	-
34	ATON Dave	-	4%	18%	32%	29%	13%	3%	-
35	TUCKER Evan	2%	13%	28%	32%	19%	6%	1%	-
36	CHAVEZ Leontine	28%	41%	24%	7%	1%	-	-	-
37	KHEGAY Martin	6%	55%	33%	5%	-	-	-	-
38	JAIN Aadi	14%	37%	33%	14%	3%	-	-	-
38	CHAMALA Satvik	6%	31%	40%	19%	4%	-	-	-
40	GUNDUBOGULA Shrihan	3%	28%	40%	22%	6%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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