ROC of the Rockies

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, April 7, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Denver Fencing Center - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DANIELS Jonah 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
2 MACMILLAN Collin 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
3 MERRIAM Isaiah G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 42%
3 PAULE Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
5 AGGELER Donovan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
6 DANIELS Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
7 MUENKE Magnus 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
8 MARENCIK Miles 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
9 ISAACSON Calev 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 2% -
10 GORMLEY Robert 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
11 JOHNSON Jay 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
12 MALLON Jeremy 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
13 STENCEL Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
14 EMERSON Zachary 100% 96% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
15 TRIFILETTI Lawrence T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
16 SUN Neo 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
17 ELLISOR Drayten 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
18 FERRELL-CARRETEY Elliot 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
19 SHULL Marc 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20%
20 PRAKASH Hari 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 16% 2%
21 GRODITSKI Alexander 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
22 MILLER Mason 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
22 GEISLER Grahm 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
24 MALLON Jaxson 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
25 STAFURIK John (Jack) W. 100% 98% 77% 36% 8% 1% -
25 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
27 ABEL Garrett 100% 93% 53% 15% 2% - -
28 ANDERSON Donald 100% 97% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
29 WU Johnny y. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
30 OWENS Charles 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
31 MILLER Joshua 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
32 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 93% 56% 18% 3% - -
33 GOODHEART Mateo 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
34 HOLLOWAY IMRIE Colin 100% 32% 4% - - - -
35 WESTON Michael 100% 36% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.