Bill Starr 4th memorial RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, April 13, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Crossroads College Preparatory School - St Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 RIVERA Leahy 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 8%
2 BOIKE Lucille 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
3 CASHMAN Hailey 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
3 SALMI-BYDALEK Ada 100% 99% 91% 59% 17%
5 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
6 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
7 BELL Blake 100% 67% 19% 2% -
8 SHUSTA Lily 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
9 LIN Athena 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
10 LIU Sophia 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
11 SAVIOZ Naomi 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
12 XU Teresa 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
13 WANG Sophia 100% 99% 77% 33% 6%
14 CLEMMER-BECHT Elise 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% 1%
15 LALONDE Beatrice 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
16 KAGAN Natalie 100% 81% 38% 8% 1%
17 YATES Annabelle 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.