The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Bill Starr 4th memorial RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, April 13, 2024 at 3:30 PM

Crossroads College Preparatory School - St Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HOWLAND Jonas - - - 4% 27% 68%
2 STRINGER David - - - 3% 24% 73%
3 HEYBOER Jason - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
3 OZAWA Taishi - - 5% 25% 49% 21%
5 TWEMLOW Sacha - - 1% 9% 41% 48%
6 VANOYEN Dominick - - 1% 12% 42% 45%
7 MCCONKEY Tristan 3% 28% 43% 22% 4% -
8 LIU Yinhong - 1% 7% 29% 46% 17%
9 MORALES Isaac - 5% 23% 41% 28% 3%
9 TOEWS Jackson 1% 8% 32% 41% 17% 1%
11 ZMUDA Aiden 2% 15% 38% 35% 9% 1%
12 WENGER Liam 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
13 MOLDOVEANU Roman - 6% 25% 40% 25% 3%
14 LUM James 1% 14% 37% 36% 11% 1%
15 BALES Gabriel 2% 20% 41% 30% 7% -
16 DEPP Edward 2% 20% 41% 29% 7% 1%
17 RYAN Nash 1% 11% 32% 38% 17% 2%
18 MURPHY Jonathan - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
19 KAGAN Noah 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
20 BLACK John 49% 38% 11% 1% - -
21 TAGORE Reyansh 5% 28% 40% 22% 4% -
22 LINEBERRY CADEN 5% 26% 41% 23% 4% -
23 MA Gangjin 34% 43% 19% 3% - -
24 HASTINGS Alex 12% 38% 36% 12% 1% -
25 TURNER Jackson 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
26 SEABLOOM Jack 48% 41% 10% 1% - -
27 OSTFIELD Matteo 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
28 YOUNG Jack 3% 20% 39% 30% 8% -
29 KOPELMAN Henry 70% 26% 4% - - -
30 PIANT Isaac 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.