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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	GAIKWAD Ashmiee	-	1%	9%	26%	37%	22%	5%
2	CHAN Jolene	-	-	-	2%	11%	37%	50%
3	MUNGUIA Mila	-	1%	8%	25%	37%	24%	5%
3	NING Lynn	1%	11%	28%	34%	20%	5%	-
5	LIN Elaine	-	-	1%	6%	23%	42%	28%
6	OCA Merci	-	3%	15%	32%	33%	15%	2%
7	WANG Jiayi	-	4%	17%	32%	30%	14%	2%
8	LONG Jessie	-	3%	16%	33%	31%	14%	2%
9	CHEN Elaine	-	-	4%	17%	34%	33%	12%
10	KIM Satie	-	3%	14%	30%	33%	17%	3%
11	LIU Hannah	-	4%	18%	34%	29%	12%	2%
12	LEI Zitong (Meya)	-	-	-	4%	19%	42%	35%
13	KIM Saeren	-	2%	11%	29%	35%	18%	3%
14	JIANG Evelyn	-	-	4%	15%	33%	34%	14%
15	LIU kai yin aria	-	4%	17%	32%	31%	14%	2%
16	CHEN Colette	-	2%	11%	28%	34%	20%	5%
17	LONG Chloe	2%	13%	30%	33%	18%	4%	-
18	JOHNSON Aven	-	2%	13%	32%	34%	16%	3%
19	SUNG Isabella	-	1%	9%	27%	37%	22%	4%
20	NGUYEN Summer	-	5%	19%	34%	29%	11%	1%
21	HAN Emma	-	2%	11%	28%	35%	20%	3%
22	HENRY Erin	36%	44%	17%	3%	-	-	-
23	YUEN Nicole	-	-	3%	15%	33%	34%	13%
24	HSIEH Lucia	6%	28%	38%	22%	6%	1%	-
25	ROBBINS Adele	16%	40%	31%	11%	2%	-	-
26	VILLAMATER Mia Franchesca	16%	40%	31%	11%	2%	-	-
27	PANCHAL Arya	32%	42%	20%	5%	1%	-	-
28	CHANG Kaitlyn	6%	27%	38%	22%	6%	1%	-
29	DING Jolie	7%	28%	37%	21%	6%	1%	-
30	STAPLEY Claire	26%	41%	25%	7%	1%	-	-
31	PARK Chloe	6%	24%	36%	25%	8%	1%	-
32	JUNG Sienna	29%	43%	22%	5%	1%	-	-
33	HALPERN Athena	5%	25%	37%	24%	7%	1%	-
34	CHANG Annette	< 1%	4%	19%	35%	29%	11%	2%
35	DUFF Caitlin	37%	42%	17%	3%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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