5th Annual Precision RYC and RJC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Saturday, April 13, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	TSUI Kaylan Ho Sen	-	1%	9%	28%	40%	22%
2	FOO Kingston	1%	7%	22%	35%	27%	8%
3	SHENOY sean	-	4%	17%	34%	32%	12%
3	SUN Roy	-	-	4%	18%	42%	35%
5	EVANS Desmond	-	-	-	5%	30%	65%
6	LEE Conrad	-	1%	8%	29%	42%	20%
7	KIM Liam	-	-	4%	21%	50%	26%
8	ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz	-	-	4%	16%	34%	33%	12%
9	WANG Waylon	-	-	1%	11%	44%	44%
10	GOLDSTEIN Benjamin	1%	10%	27%	36%	21%	5%
11	TAN benjamin	1%	9%	27%	35%	21%	6%	1%
12	JEON Joohun	-	-	4%	17%	35%	32%	11%
13	TURBAT Travis	-	1%	7%	26%	43%	23%
14	HUANG Owen	2%	13%	32%	33%	16%	4%	-
15	CHOI William	3%	17%	33%	31%	14%	2%
16	CHENG Alvin	2%	11%	29%	35%	20%	4%
17	LIU Michael	1%	9%	29%	37%	20%	4%
18	CHEN Solomon	3%	18%	35%	31%	11%	1%
19	LEE Juneau	5%	23%	38%	27%	7%	-
20	PARK Kaiden	-	1%	6%	21%	36%	28%	8%
21	LIN Stewart	4%	22%	39%	28%	6%	-
22	ZHANG William	-	4%	18%	36%	33%	9%
23	CHANG Owen	3%	17%	36%	32%	11%	1%
24	MENG Andy	3%	15%	33%	32%	14%	2%
25	MA Justin	6%	27%	38%	23%	5%	-
26	PARK Bryant	5%	20%	34%	28%	11%	2%
27	SUN Lucas	6%	26%	38%	23%	6%	1%
28	KAJITA Grayson	6%	26%	38%	24%	6%	1%
29	YIN Luke	11%	31%	34%	19%	5%	1%
30	SHENOY Neil	4%	23%	37%	26%	9%	1%	-
31	WANG Charles	14%	37%	34%	13%	2%	-
32	JIN Winston	23%	42%	27%	7%	1%	-
33	MENG Eric	4%	21%	37%	28%	9%	1%
34	LOZANO Koen Alexander	1%	6%	24%	40%	27%	4%
35	KORKUNOV Alexander	11%	34%	37%	16%	2%	-
36	ZHANG alex	6%	24%	36%	25%	8%	1%
37	SWENSSON Otto	14%	38%	34%	12%	1%	-
38	LEE Roland	15%	39%	34%	11%	1%	-
39	GU Evan	24%	41%	26%	8%	1%	-
40	CHOI Owen	26%	42%	25%	7%	1%	-
41	LIN Dylan	29%	42%	23%	5%	-	-
42	CAO Benjamin	5%	21%	35%	27%	10%	1%
43	TANAKA Evan	49%	38%	11%	2%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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