2024 BFC Youth Series 3

Unrated Y-12 Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 13, 2024 at 2:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KABA Elias 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
2 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
3 CHEN Yudian 100% 99% 88% 59% 26% 6% 1%
3 TIAN Victoria 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 6% -
5 MA Brendon 100% 99% 92% 69% 37% 12% 2%
6 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
7 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
8 BURDICK Elijah 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
9 MANUEL Ei 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
10 POYNTON Cora 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
11 VIGODA Max 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
12 ASHLEY Logan 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 21%
13 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 1%
14 GILLARD Adan 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
15 DING Iris 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
16 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
17 FENG-WU Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 2%
18 ALI Zakaria 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
19 MCGANN Grant 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
20 ROFINO Samuel 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
21 ZHU Celina 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
22 CIANCHETTA David 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
23 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
24 ORDORICA Abra 100% 96% 76% 44% 15% 3% -
25 HOLBROOK Silas 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
26 LI Jayden 100% 98% 89% 63% 31% 9% 1%
27 HAMILTON Tyler 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
28 YOON Jonathan 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
29 SONKU Mira 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
30 MILLER Brodrick 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
31 REDWINE Louise 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
32 KAUR Harman 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
33 RICK Dylan 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
34 ARMEY Alexander 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.