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Rockland RJCC

Cadet Women's Épée

Saturday, April 13, 2024 at 4:15 PM

Rockland Community College Eugine Levy Fieldhouse - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	LEE Claire	-	-	1%	6%	31%	63%
2	QI Julieanne	-	-	1%	7%	35%	57%
3	WANG Trinity	-	-	1%	10%	38%	50%
3	ADYANTHAYA Anika	-	2%	18%	39%	32%	9%
5	GOH Cayla	-	5%	21%	39%	29%	6%
6	WANG Sophie Y.	-	1%	9%	32%	41%	18%
7	KANG kailin	3%	17%	35%	32%	12%	1%
8	BOROTKO Katerina	-	3%	15%	37%	37%	8%
9	CHATIKHINE Anastasia	-	2%	10%	28%	39%	22%
10	KAUR Manroop	-	1%	9%	32%	41%	17%
11	CHEN Alina	1%	10%	30%	37%	19%	3%
12	SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna	2%	13%	31%	33%	17%	3%
13	NOVOJILOV Anastasia	-	-	2%	12%	39%	47%
14	DHAIYA Tanya	2%	15%	35%	34%	12%	1%
15	LOBANOVA Varvara	-	5%	29%	41%	21%	4%
16	BISONO Valentina	5%	22%	37%	28%	9%	1%
17	HU Chloe	11%	34%	36%	16%	3%	-
18	CASHMAN Amanda	2%	13%	32%	35%	16%	2%
19	WONG Angelina	5%	23%	38%	26%	7%	1%
20	WANG Cecilia	2%	12%	29%	34%	19%	4%
21	BINDAS Sigrid	27%	42%	24%	6%	1%	-
22	WANG Chloe	9%	31%	37%	19%	4%	-
22	LI Yixin Catherine	-	3%	17%	37%	35%	8%
24	NGUYEN Celena	9%	28%	35%	21%	6%	1%
25	LEE Claudia	15%	38%	33%	12%	2%	-
26	VENKATESAN Harshitha	4%	19%	34%	29%	12%	2%
27	MATHEW Noe	24%	42%	26%	7%	1%	-
28	WROBEL Julia	5%	25%	39%	25%	6%	-
29	BASRALIAN Lucine	7%	27%	38%	23%	6%	-
30	ZHENG Erin	9%	33%	37%	17%	3%	-
31	SHETH Anayaà	3%	17%	36%	32%	11%	1%
32	TRIEU Autumn	14%	35%	33%	15%	3%	-
33	BEJUGAMA Lasya	16%	55%	25%	4%	-	-
34	KWON Elise	10%	30%	35%	20%	5%	-
35	MILLER Cassandra	16%	38%	32%	12%	2%	-
36	LIN Chloe	67%	30%	3%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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