Mission SYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, May 4, 2019 at 3:30 PM

Rocky Point, NY - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
2 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
3 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
3 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 93% 70% 32% 6%
5 WANG Robert 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 3%
6 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
7 LEE Justin 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
8 BAE Jason I. 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
9 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
10 CHON Taylor A. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
10 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
12 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 24%
13 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
14 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
15 MORALES Jonathan 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1%
16 HU Christopher 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
17 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
18 HUANG Connor 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 11%
19 SULLIVAN Aidan J. 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 2%
20 OH Triton 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
21 KILGALLEN William 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 9%
22 OU Brian 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
23 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
24 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
25 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
26 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
27 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
28 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
29 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
30 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 99% 85% 52% 18% 2%
31 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 99% 85% 43% 11% 1%
32 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
33 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
34 CHUANG Tristan 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
35 DUCKETT Myles 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
36 STURN Oliver 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
37 CLARK Gabriel 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
38 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
39 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 99% 82% 40% 10% 1%
40 CHENG Cody 100% 99% 82% 41% 9% 1%
41 SHTEIN Yan 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
42 SUBRAMANIAM Oliver C. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
43 LIN Philip T. 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
44 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
45 LAU Justin Y. 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
45 ALLARDYCE Graham 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
47 PILAT Matthew J. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
48 WANG Oscar 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2%
49 BROU Inkosi 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
49 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
51 MANGAN Daniel Marsh 100% 89% 41% 8% 1% -
52 SMINK Oliver 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
53 CHICA - HERRERA Brian 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
54 DOWNEY Baran 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
55 GIORDANO Nicholas 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
56 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 95% 56% 16% 2% -
57 LEONARD Charles 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
58 ANAND Sahil Z. 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
60 ZENG Noah 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
61 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
62 YU Thomas 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
63 KALOUDIS Sean 100% 91% 56% 16% 2% -
64 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 93% 66% 25% 4%
65 BAZZANA Beniamino 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
66 KESSLER Nathan 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% -
67 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 22%
68 LEE Derek J. 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1%
68 JAVIDI Michael 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% 1%
70 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 81% 37% 9% 1% -
70 HE Bowen 100% 60% 16% 2% - -
72 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
73 ALLARDYCE Lachlan 100% 99% 90% 56% 17% 2%
75 NGUYEN Connor 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% -
76 ENG Craig 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
77 PENG Victor 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
78 CUSUMANO Neal 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% - -
79 MARGULIS Jared 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
80 VORONOVICH Aleksei 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
82 YUAN William 100% 28% 3% - - -
82 GONG Jerry 100% 52% 14% 2% - -
84 LIGH Checed 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
84 TVERSKOY Sam 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
86 HICKOX Nathan 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.