Bill Starr 4th memorial RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, April 14, 2024 at 3:30 PM

Crossroads College Preparatory School - St Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
2 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
3 LIU Yinhong 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
3 OZAWA Taishi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
5 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
6 HICKEY Connor 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
7 TOEWS Jackson 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
8 TAGORE Reyansh 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
9 MURPHY Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 20%
10 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
11 SHOUSHA Hamza 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 6%
12 WENGER Rowan 100% 98% 84% 53% 22% 5% -
13 WENGER Liam 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
14 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
15 LUM James 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
16 TURNER Jackson 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
17 LINEBERRY CADEN 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17% 2%
18 MA Gangjin 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
19 FERGUSON Levi 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
20 DEPP Edward 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
21 MCCONKEY Tristan 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
22 SYMMANK Callen 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
23 HASTINGS Alex 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 4% -
24 KOPELMAN Henry 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
25 YOUNG Jack 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
26 XU Rambert 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
27 OSTFIELD Matteo 100% 85% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
28 CRONK Trevor 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
29 KAGAN Noah 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
29 DIFRANK Tae 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
31 BLACK John 100% 89% 51% 14% 2% - -
32 BALES Gabriel 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
33 RITTER Nathan D. 100% 88% 53% 16% 2% - -
34 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
35 JOSEHART Phinn 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.