Cherry Blossom ROC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, April 14, 2024 at 11:00 AM

University of Maryland, Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEI Sarah 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60% 14%
2 LI Shuang 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 33%
3 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 57%
3 WU Julianna Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 40%
5 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
6 TURNER Stephanie E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 65% 20% 2%
7 LEVY Avery 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1%
8 CEPERO Rosabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
9 CAO Kayla 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
10 GREEN Marisa 100% 99% 78% 38% 9% 1%
11 MOORE Addisyn 100% 73% 26% 3% - -
12 OWEN Ashley 100% 100% 100% 94% 58% 16% 1%
13 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 14%
14 LEE Alice 100% 74% 31% 6% - -
15 SELSER Ella 100% 91% 56% 14% 1% -
16 HATZOGLU Isabella 100% 95% 71% 30% 5% -
17 GORDON Rachel A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
18 CROWE Talia 100% 91% 51% 9% 1% - -
19 THURMAN Allison L. 100% 100% 88% 52% 16% 2%
20 BARCZAK Rebekah 100% 74% 27% 3% - -
21 TOMASI Samantha 100% 88% 40% 4% - - -
22 LIAO Olivia 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% 1%
23 FERGUSON Diane F. 100% 100% 96% 72% 22% 2%
24 WESTGATE Rebecca 100% 46% 8% - - - -
25 MARKERT Delaney 100% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.