Cherry Blossom ROC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Sunday, April 14, 2024 at 1:00 PM

University of Maryland, Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 45%
2 SCOTT Eve 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
3 KYNETT Kathryn G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
3 KOLMYKOVA Aleksandra 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 27%
5 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
6 CAO Sophie 100% 99% 83% 42% 10% 1%
7 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 98% 81% 43% 10% 1%
8 COLTER Aurora 100% 100% 96% 70% 22% 2%
9 CARTER Keely 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
10 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
11 PROBASCO Leila 100% 95% 67% 26% 5% -
12 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
13 LEE Alyson 100% 100% 95% 69% 26% 4%
14 COLBY Mercer 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
15 CHI Claire 100% 97% 74% 32% 6% -
16 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 97% 61% 15% 1% -
17 MCSWEENEY Kylie 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% 1%
18 HUA Catherine W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
19 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
20 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 14%
21 CHANG Norah 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
22 BARROSO Isabela 100% 93% 61% 21% 3% -
23 BARBORIAK Emily 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
24 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
25 ZHANG Jiaqing 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
26 WANG Erica 100% 90% 52% 16% 2% -
27 NASER Sarah 100% 20% 1% - - -
28 SOHN Juniper 100% 37% 4% - - -
29 WALKER Terra 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1%
30 MCAFEE Jada 100% 97% 63% 17% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.