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Rockland RJCC

Cadet Women's Foil

Sunday, April 14, 2024 at 11:45 AM

Rockland Community College Eugine Levy Fieldhouse - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	ROZPEDOWSKI Claire	-	-	1%	9%	45%	46%
2	LI Eleanor	-	-	1%	9%	36%	53%
3	JOO Natalie	-	2%	20%	63%	15%
3	WANG Joanna	-	-	1%	12%	45%	41%
5	CASCONE Emily	-	-	-	4%	31%	65%
6	WANG Jasmine	-	-	4%	22%	49%	25%
7	KAPRAN Anastasia	-	3%	17%	37%	32%	10%
8	CHEN Sophie	1%	16%	40%	34%	9%	1%
9	KIM Claire	-	3%	30%	50%	15%	1%
10	ZHANG Selena	-	2%	13%	34%	37%	15%
11	SHA Yi Ling	-	-	3%	22%	45%	29%
12	WANG Amabel	-	1%	8%	33%	42%	16%
13	FENG Audrey	2%	12%	32%	36%	16%	2%
14	FIELD Julianna	-	-	1%	15%	53%	31%
15	DIMATULAC Elise Ann	-	1%	11%	35%	43%	10%
16	HARRIS Julia	-	3%	17%	37%	33%	10%
17	YU Jane	-	5%	22%	39%	28%	5%
18	SHENG Katherine	-	8%	30%	38%	20%	4%
19	ZELDIN Nadia	-	1%	11%	37%	38%	12%
20	GREENLEAF Ella	-	9%	49%	35%	6%	-
21	FENG Grace	-	-	2%	25%	74%
22	WAN Celine	39%	46%	14%	1%	-
23	LIU Yinuo	5%	28%	44%	19%	3%	-
24	LI Katerina	1%	15%	39%	35%	9%	1%
25	LI Savannah	7%	36%	39%	15%	2%	-
26	HUANG Sophie	1%	19%	42%	31%	7%	-
27	ORRINGER Lottie	4%	22%	38%	27%	8%	1%
28	SHICK Veronika	31%	42%	22%	5%	-	-
29	LIN Yunong	8%	31%	38%	19%	4%	-
30	NETTLETON Ava	75%	22%	2%	-	-	-
31	LIU Caydence	2%	25%	43%	25%	5%	-
32	SONG Jenna	2%	19%	41%	31%	7%	-
33	KO Darby	40%	44%	14%	2%	-	-
34	SHERLOCK Gabriella	9%	39%	44%	8%	-
35	ARRAIANO Olivia R.	22%	49%	26%	3%	-
36	BRODY Coco	59%	34%	7%	-	-	-
37	CHOI Cara	76%	22%	2%	-	-	-
38	PELLE Lia	15%	65%	19%	1%	-	-
39	REZA Fukaina	19%	46%	29%	6%	1%	-
40	BADLANI Diya	4%	34%	39%	18%	4%	-
41	OTTERMAN Jenna	76%	23%	1%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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