Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC

Div II Women's Épée

Saturday, April 20, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MELLES Anne-Mai 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65%
2 SHAKIR Inaaya 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 17% 2%
3 MINOR Lindsey 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 CHEN Alicia 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 4%
5 WANDMACHER GUERRERO Angela 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 5%
6 FOMINA Polina 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
7 MCGEE Sophia 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
8 GAVILANES Madyson 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
9 CHEN Jingyun 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
10 LIN Victoria T. 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 7% -
11 PHELAN Gabrielle 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
12 GROENING Joanne 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 14%
13 ELLIS Sarah 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
14 BENNETT Olivia 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
15 KRAJA Emma 100% 97% 78% 44% 13% 2% -
16 LIN Cynthia 100% 75% 32% 6% - -
17 MCSWEENEY Janie 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
18 JUN Bomie 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
19 SCHLEE Selma 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 17% 2%
20 BISEN Shivani S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
21 ZHENG Erin 100% 98% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
22 RASO Olivia 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 2%
23 REISNER Gabriella 100% 91% 57% 18% 2% -
24 MILLER Cassandra 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
25 O'GARRA Vincent 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
26 PEREZ Francesca 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
27 MATHEW Noe 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
27 HO Gillian 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
29 DUNNE Jessica 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
30 MONITTO Malina 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
31 WROBEL Julia 100% 89% 48% 14% 2% - -
32 ALVAREZ Martine 100% 94% 54% 15% 2% - -
33 GARCIA Daniela 100% 31% 4% - - - -
34 O'BRIEN Michelle L. 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.