Event Results
Fencing Center of Chicago RYC & RJCCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | CASHMAN Hailey | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 2 | HU Sophie | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 3 | FRASER Morgan | V V V V V | V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 3 | YANG Olivia | V V V V | V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 5 | KIM Yuna | D V V V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 6 | LIU Sophia | V D D V V | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 7 | KASHUBA Mila | V V D V D | V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 8 | KIM Gia | D V V V D | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 9 | MA Sophia | D V V D V | D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 10 | MARENITCH Kara | V D V D V | V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 11 | HUANG Emma | V V D V D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 12 | ZHANG Selina | D V D V | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 13 | LALONDE Beatrice | V D D V | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 14 | KAGAN Natalie | V D D D | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 15 | LI Claire | D D V D D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 16 | EVOLA Ellie | D D D D D | V D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 17 | HUANG Cynthia | V D D V V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 18 | GONG Maggie | V V D D D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 19 | YU Reecy | D D V D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 20 | FANG Savannah | D D D D V | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 21 | SHI Cathy | D D V D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 22 | WALSH Ardella | D D D D D | D | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| 23 | JIANG Mujing | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |