The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Buckie Leach RYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, April 20, 2024 at 12:00 PM

New Jersey City University - John Moore Athletic Center - Jersey City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSIMIKLIS aphrodite - - - 1% 12% 64% 24%
2 MCSHERRY Kayla - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
3 CASCONE Sophie - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
3 LI savannah - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
5 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
6 LIN Yunong - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
7 CAO Amelie - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 6%
8 DOUGLAS Addison 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
9 FEDER Acadia - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
10 ZHU Ella 5% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
11 CHOI Cara 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
12 DINAR Julia 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
13 SINGH Evangelina - 3% 14% 29% 33% 17% 3%
14 SHANG Arianna 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
15 BAULIN Zoya 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
15 JAZWINSKI Ivy 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
17 ZHENG Annalyn 4% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
18 ELLISON Ingrid - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
18 MORENCY-NICHOLLS Lia 9% 36% 36% 16% 3% - -
20 XING Melly 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
20 STEELE Veronica 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1% -
20 KENT Evelyn - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
23 HEMPHILL Mia 4% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
24 GE Deanna - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
25 CHUNG Stella - 2% 11% 30% 37% 19% 1%
26 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
27 MURPHY Genevieve - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
28 MACKINTOSH Quinn 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
29 LIN Zhishan 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
30 CESAIRE Giselle 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
31 WU Charlotte 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
32 KIM Lael 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
33 FAN Melody 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
34 LUO lucy 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
35 KUKLINA Maria 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.