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Battle in Space City RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, April 20, 2024 at 8:00 AM

University of Houston Downtown - Wellness and Success Center - Houston, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ELHUSSEINI Kyle	-	-	-	2%	12%	39%	47%
2	ELHUSSEINI Dylan	-	-	-	1%	12%	40%	47%
3	DECKER Hunter	-	-	2%	12%	31%	38%	17%
3	GONZALEZ Kian	-	-	2%	18%	40%	33%	7%
5	LI Tristan	-	-	1%	11%	35%	41%	12%
6	PARKER Isaiah	-	-	-	2%	12%	40%	46%
7	LIOZNYANSKY Miron	-	-	5%	26%	41%	24%	4%
8	MEHROTRA Neel	-	-	4%	17%	37%	34%	8%
9	MANGAN Hunter	-	1%	7%	21%	35%	28%	9%
10	GOODMAN Benjamin	2%	11%	28%	34%	20%	5%	1%
11	HERNDON Liam	-	1%	6%	25%	43%	25%
12	PEREZ Daniel	1%	8%	30%	38%	20%	3%
13	KIM Gene	-	-	4%	15%	33%	34%	13%
14	YILMAZ Tarik	-	2%	14%	35%	37%	13%
15	MULDOON Thomas	-	1%	6%	20%	34%	29%	9%
16	KHAVKIN Alexander	2%	21%	42%	27%	7%	1%	-
17	POHL Philip	-	3%	15%	33%	33%	13%	2%
18	SANCHEZ IKER	-	1%	10%	32%	38%	17%	2%
19	VEERAVALLI Vivek	-	2%	12%	32%	36%	16%	2%
20	OLSON Joseph	1%	9%	26%	35%	22%	6%	1%
21	HASSOUN Pierre-Olivier	-	3%	13%	29%	33%	18%	4%
22	VAN RIET Stefan	-	5%	18%	32%	30%	13%	2%
23	GONIMA Francisco	22%	39%	28%	10%	2%	-	-
24	ABAD Mateo	6%	26%	37%	24%	7%	1%	-
25	KOSTUSIAK Evan	1%	9%	31%	37%	19%	3%
26	TUMULA Arihaan	5%	21%	34%	27%	11%	2%	-
27	YUE Bryan	3%	24%	40%	25%	6%	1%	-
28	MODI Rohan	36%	42%	18%	4%	-	-	-
29	SUMA Marvin	-	3%	13%	31%	33%	17%	3%
30	KNYSH IURII	3%	19%	36%	29%	11%	2%	-
31	ROBERTS Arthur	1%	10%	29%	35%	19%	4%	-
32	HUANG Ethan	55%	37%	8%	1%	-	-
33	ZHOU Max	9%	38%	36%	14%	2%	-
34	CREED Dylan	26%	42%	25%	7%	1%	-	-
35	MO Chris	1%	12%	34%	36%	15%	2%	-
36	GRIGORENKO Gleb E.	5%	21%	34%	27%	11%	2%	-
37	SATHYAN Dev	16%	43%	32%	7%	1%	-	-
38	DADE Augustus	11%	34%	34%	16%	4%	-	-
39	MUTTART JR Patrick	42%	43%	13%	2%	-	-	-
39	SONG Sawyer	30%	45%	21%	3%	-	-	-
41	VEERAVALLI Pranav	12%	38%	37%	11%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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