Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 1:45 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CALDERARO Margherita 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
2 GABERKORN Nadia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 26%
3 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
3 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 17%
5 FENG Ge 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 14%
6 BUECHEL Holly M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
7 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1%
8 MCSWEENEY Janie 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
9 MINOR Lindsey 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
10 LIANG Jingjing 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 22% 2%
11 WELLS Tesla M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
12 BLAKE Caira 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
13 CHOY LeeAnn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 41%
14 MONOVA Lilyana 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
15 HAFEEZ Hiba 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 20% 2%
16 WANG Trinity 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
17 LI Fei 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
18 MELLES Anne-Mai 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 13%
19 DEPOMMIER Isabelle 100% 100% 97% 73% 28% 4% -
20 HICKS Grace 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2%
21 GAVILANES Madyson 100% 97% 47% 9% 1% - -
22 ZHENG Linden 100% 100% 92% 55% 15% 1% -
23 CHEN Alicia 100% 97% 69% 26% 5% - -
24 CHEN Jingyun 100% 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
25 MONITTO Malina 100% 36% 4% - - - -
26 PHELAN Gabrielle 100% 77% 30% 6% 1% - -
27 WANDMACHER GUERRERO Angela 100% 99% 82% 35% 6% - -
28 LIN Cynthia 100% 30% 3% - - - -
29 SHAKIR Inaaya 100% 100% 93% 60% 18% 2% -
30 LIN Victoria T. 100% 96% 63% 21% 3% - -
30 WROBEL Julia 100% 84% 28% 4% - - -
32 REISNER Gabriella 100% 55% 10% 1% - - -
33 NGUYEN Celena 100% 69% 17% 2% - - -
34 GARCIA Daniela 100% 10% - - - - -
35 FOMINA Polina 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.