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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fencing Center of Chicago RYC & RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Energy Sport Club - Niles, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUTH Joseph - - 1% 12% 41% 45%
2 HOWLAND Jonas - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
3 FORTUNE Alexander J. - - - - 1% 21% 77%
3 GOGOI Vir K. - - - 5% 25% 44% 26%
5 CHUANG Oscar - - 2% 14% 38% 35% 10%
6 DORE Davis - - - 1% 12% 42% 44%
7 SLUSHER Gideon - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
8 HEYBOER Jason - 2% 12% 35% 39% 11% -
9 IRVINE Brody - 1% 9% 34% 40% 15% 2%
10 MARTIN William - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10%
11 XIAO Bowen - - - 6% 28% 47% 18%
12 STRINGER David - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 11%
13 VANOYEN Dominick - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
14 FRASER Rhys 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
15 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn - - 1% 8% 33% 49% 8%
16 GRINER Kevin 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2% -
17 PAI Lakshan K. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
18 TWEMLOW Sacha - 1% 13% 37% 38% 11%
19 SANTOS Carlos R. - - 1% 11% 34% 39% 14%
20 PALMA Nathan Anthony - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
21 KNIBBE Nathan 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
22 SMITH Cooper - 7% 30% 41% 19% 3%
23 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott - 7% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
24 JARCHO Beckett 1% 16% 36% 31% 13% 2% -
25 ZHANG Hanson 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
26 EDWARDS Connor 10% 37% 40% 12% 1% - -
27 ATKINSON JOSIAH 1% 10% 34% 38% 16% 2%
28 BERSCHEID Arthur - 4% 20% 41% 28% 8% 1%
29 MARTIN Dexter 12% 41% 35% 11% 1% - -
30 COPELAND Nigel - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
31 REAUME Nate 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
32 LIU Yinhong - 1% 10% 37% 39% 13% 1%
33 SILVA Alexander Ryan 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
34 ZMUDA Aiden 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
35 LAKAS Darius 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
36 HERRERA Xavier 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
37 ZINSER James 20% 48% 26% 6% - -
38 LANE Sean 29% 45% 22% 4% - - -
39 DAVIS Benjamin 38% 43% 16% 2% - - -
40 MICK Gabriel 8% 33% 41% 16% 2% - -
41 YOUNG Jack 27% 46% 23% 4% - - -
42 OSTFIELD Matteo 24% 46% 26% 4% - - -
43 NI Aaric 47% 42% 10% 1% - -
44 GARSKE James 3% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1% -
45 NGAN Max 4% 26% 46% 20% 3% - -
46 KAGAN Noah 39% 42% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.