The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Rain City Super Youth Circuit (SYC)

Y-12 Women's Foil

Monday, April 22, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DUAN Sophie - - - - 3% 28% 68%
2 LI Joy - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
3 LIU Ariana 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
3 RUI Jessie - - 5% 19% 37% 30% 8%
5 BU Bessie - - - 7% 36% 57%
6 AL-BATTAINEH Eva - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
7 HSIAO Ariya 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
8 CHO Karis - 1% 11% 33% 40% 13% 1%
9 ZHAO Olivia - 2% 19% 39% 31% 8%
10 CHANG Lydia - - 1% 7% 32% 49% 11%
11 HAN Mia - 3% 16% 38% 34% 10%
12 CHEN Madeleine 1% 11% 38% 36% 13% 1%
13 ZHANG Lian - - - 5% 21% 42% 31%
14 WANG Doreen - 1% 10% 32% 40% 18%
15 PARK Lauren - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
16 NEUMANN Erika 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2%
17 KIM Lauren - 1% 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
18 SOE Hayleigh - 2% 13% 38% 37% 10%
19 DAI Iris Yuyang - - 5% 25% 45% 24%
20 ZHANG Gwenyth - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
21 CHOI Lydia 1% 8% 30% 40% 19% 3% -
22 ZHOU Joi - 1% 6% 28% 49% 16%
23 YU Sophie - 1% 12% 34% 38% 15%
24 XIA Isabella - 5% 27% 42% 22% 4%
25 KENSICKI Phoebe - - 4% 23% 45% 27%
26 TAO Ann - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
27 JIANG Ziqing 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
28 KOU Elisha - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
29 LU Keeva - 5% 28% 40% 22% 4%
30 YAO Abby - 4% 18% 34% 32% 11%
31 ESAKI Kei 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
32 THOTA Akira 9% 33% 38% 16% 3% -
33 WU Elynna - 1% 12% 37% 38% 11%
34 CHENG Audrey 10% 34% 38% 16% 2% -
35 MIYOSHI Kylie - 4% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
36 HSU Rachel - 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
37 WU Allison - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
38 ARYA Leela 4% 23% 43% 24% 5% -
39 CHEN Aimee 2% 48% 37% 11% 1% -
40 SCHULTZ Sumi 4% 22% 40% 28% 6% -
41 TEWARI Amaira 4% 32% 40% 19% 4% - -
42 ANWEILER Megan 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
43 BHANGOO Paloma 28% 45% 22% 4% - - -
44 LI Audrey 19% 46% 28% 6% 1% -
45 ZHAN Catherine 5% 25% 41% 25% 5% -
46 KLESERT Elizabeth 36% 47% 16% 2% - -
47 MORENO Alexsis 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
48 HO Chloe 31% 43% 21% 4% - -
49 LIU Doris-Zihan Zhou 3% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1% -
50 CHEN Elysia 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
51 YU-TAN Claire 32% 49% 17% 2% - -
52 LIGERET Stella 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
53 VALOUEVA Katerina 78% 20% 2% - - - -
54 KELLY Daphne 94% 6% - - - -
55 BAMBUCK-VASQUEZ Charlotte 42% 44% 13% 1% - -
56 MERRIMAN Evalyn 23% 45% 25% 5% - - -
57 YOUN Davina 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.