Division 1/Parafencing National Championships + April NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 8:30 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
2 HOMER Daryl D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
3 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 15%
3 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
5 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
6 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 63%
7 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
8 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56%
9 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 10%
10 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
11 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
12 KOGAN Ben 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 35% 8%
13 LIM William J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 24% 4%
14 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 22% 3%
15 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
16 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
17 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
18 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
19 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
20 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
21 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
22 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 1%
23 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
24 WANG Robert 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
25 STURN Oliver 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
26 VAID Luke 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
27 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
28 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
29 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11% -
30 HU Christopher 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
31 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
32 CRAIG Samuel 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
33 DODDO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
34 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
35 LEE Justin 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% 1%
36 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16% 1%
37 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15% 1%
38 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
39 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
40 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
41 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
42 LE Hayden 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
43 HUANG Alex F. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
44 ROBERTS Sam 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 2%
45 PI Alexander 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
46 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
47 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
48 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
49 WANG Nicolas 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
50 WILSON Jude 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
51 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
52 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% -
53 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15% 1%
53 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 5%
55 BYON Adrian 100% 91% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
56 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
57 OH Triton 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
57 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
59 HONG Rubin 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% - -
60 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 1%
61 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
62 LIN Maxim 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
63 REN James 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
64 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
65 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 2%
66 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
67 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
68 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
69 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
70 SU Landon 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
71 YAN William 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
72 TAO Jeffrey 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
72 KILARI Krish 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
74 SAVOY Luca 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
75 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
76 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
77 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
77 PATEL Rayn 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
79 TIAGI Daniel 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
80 MICHELL Bailey 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
80 QIU Nathan 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
80 ROE Finnegan 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
83 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
84 YAN Kevin 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
85 MATTOO Deven 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
85 PENG Bryan 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
85 DEPEW Spencer 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
88 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 9% 1%
89 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
90 LUO George F. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
90 MARGULIES William 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
92 ZENG Noah 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
93 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
93 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
95 KIM ELIJAH 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
96 BARRIOS Diego 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
97 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
98 FENG Leo 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
99 JOO Jeein 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
100 KIM Ethan 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
101 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
102 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
103 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
104 SO Preston 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
105 MAY Griffin M. 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
105 LIN Daniel 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
107 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
108 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 2% -
109 NG Jonathan 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
110 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
111 KANG Evan 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
112 CHEN Jonathan 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
113 MATTOO Surya 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
114 DUDNICK Christian 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
115 TONG ZACHARY 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
116 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4% -
117 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
118 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
119 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
120 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 4%
120 KROON Lucas 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
120 BOSITA Carson 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
123 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
124 YANG Dylan 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
124 RAMANAN Govind 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
126 FELDMAN Drew 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
127 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
128 SOWERS Samuel 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
129 KATZ Ryan 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
130 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
131 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
132 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 11% 1%
133 LUHAN Zachary 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
134 BYON Julian 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
135 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
135 KANG Evan R. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
137 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
138 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 79% 40% 13% 2% - -
139 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 87% 53% 20% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.