Division 1/Parafencing National Championships + April NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 65%
2 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
3 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5% -
5 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
6 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
7 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 23%
8 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
9 SUN Ruoxi 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% < 1%
10 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
11 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
12 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
13 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
14 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
15 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
16 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
17 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 4%
18 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
19 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
20 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
21 CHOW Annabelle 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
22 KIM Rachel 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
23 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
23 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
25 WANDJI Anais 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
26 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
27 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
28 FUNG Emma 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
29 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 3% -
30 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 14% 2%
31 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
32 SHENG Chuxi 100% 94% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
33 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
34 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
35 SHEN Emilia 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
36 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
37 LUO Sandra J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
38 SHIM Grace J. 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
39 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17% 1%
40 MI Aileen 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
41 OH Ceana 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
42 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
43 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
44 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
45 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
46 SUN Chloe 100% 96% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
47 YANG Audrey 100% 88% 49% 14% 2% - -
48 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
49 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% 1%
50 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
51 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
52 FENG Grace 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% -
53 CHEN Renee 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
54 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
55 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
56 YANG Iris 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 10% 1%
57 LI Eleanor 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% - -
58 YANG Emma 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
59 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
60 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
61 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
62 MEI Sarah 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
63 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
64 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 4% -
65 HSU Kaylin 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
66 DENG Melissa 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% - -
67 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
67 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
69 ZHANG Eunice 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
70 LAI Sophia 100% 93% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
71 RENTON Samantha 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 2% -
72 ROY Layla 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
73 ZHOU Catherine 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% - -
74 STRUGAR Steliana 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
75 SHA Yi Ling 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
76 FUNG Vera 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
77 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
78 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% - -
79 SWANSON Alexa 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
80 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
81 LEE Allison 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
82 YU Jane 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
83 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
84 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 88% 46% 13% 2% - -
85 ASCHETTINO Aurora 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
86 COOPER Piper W. 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
87 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
88 RAO Sonia D. 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
89 VO Bao-Vy 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.