Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | HE Zhiheng | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| 2 | CAMPBELL-KRUGER Adam W. | V V D V V V | V V V V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 3 | COHEN Benjamin A. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 3 | NICHOLSON Dimitri E. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 5 | LI Yunji (Rain) | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| 6 | LOMIO Nicholas A. | V V D V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 7 | AHMED Isa | D V V V V D | V V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 8 | LOUIE Joseph | V D V D V V | V V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 9 | BLANCO Ariia | D V V V D V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 10 | KENNY Oliver R. | V V D V D V | V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 11 | ACKERMANN Richard | V V V D D V | V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 12 | KOUTSOUKOS James | D V D V V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 13 | LAURIMAA Emil | D V V V D V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 14 | TONG Samuel | V V D D V D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 15 | XU Yanwen | V D D D V V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 16 | CHAO Warren | D D V V D D | V D | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| 17 | XU Serena | V V V D V D | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 18 | MCGUIRE Maximilien | V V D V V D | D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 19 | ONGSITCO Mark L. | V D V V D V | D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 20 | LIN Andrew | D V D V D V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 21 | CHIEM Karen | D D V V D V | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 22 | MA Ryan | D V V D V D | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 23 | LI Ethan R. | D D D V V D | D | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| 24 | TOYOFUKU Ethan | V D D V D D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 25 | BREKSA Lyndsey K. | D D D V V D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 26 | LIN Shenghai | D D D D V V | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 27 | SALOM BLASCO Miquel | D D V D D D | D | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| 28 | ASTLE Stephen | D V D D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 29 | TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios | D D D V D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 30 | LIN Jason | D D D D D V | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 31 | BURGSTONE Benjamin | D V D D D D | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 32 | CONTI Braeden | D D D D D D | V D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 33 | BUJANOVER Maayan | V D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 34 | JACKSON Susana | D D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 35 | PERALTA Christian | D D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.