Apex Fencing Academy - Apex, NC, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SMOLICH Marat | V V V V V | V V V V V | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 2 | MUELLER Donn | V V V D | V V V V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 3 | YANG Ethan J. | D V V V | V V V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 3 | CLICK Aiden | V D V V | V V V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 5 | GUEVARRA Gerhard V. | V V V V | V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 6 | CAO Kayla | V V V V | V V D | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| 7 | VERGARA Jaden Reese | V D V V V | V V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 8 | PIERRYNOWSKI Kathryn S. | D V V V | V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 9 | MOORHOUSE Emmett | V V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 10 | OWENS Elise | V V V V | V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 11 | ROTHMAN Matthew | V V V D V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 12 | TAMIR Esu | V D V V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 13 | CANTERO GIGNAC Alexander | V V V V D | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 14 | VIVEROS Oscar A. | D V V V | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 15 | METZ Mason | V V D D V | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 16 | PRUT Anton | V D D V | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 17 | GUEVARRA Isabelle C. | V V D V | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 18 | TSAI Caleb | D V D V V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 19 | YUN Max | V V D D V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 20 | AKBAY Deniz | V D V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 21 | PAGE Walker | D V V D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 22 | GADOW Patrick | D D V V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 22 | KUBE Lily | D V V D D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 24 | ROBBINS Maria | V V D D D | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 25 | HOFF Divya | D D D V V | D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 26 | SMITH Christopher | V D D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 27 | SMITH Finnley | V D D D | V D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 28 | FALK Abigail | D D D V | V D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 29 | SPELL Kayla | D V D D | V D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 30 | PETERS Ezra | D D V D D | V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 31 | ROTHMAN Rebecca | D D D D | V D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 32 | DOVER Felix | D D D D D | V D | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| 33 | BETTCHER Timothy | D D D V D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 34 | THU John | D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 35 | DAVIS Walter | D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 36 | REINARD Elizabeth | D D D D | D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| 37 | FALK Zoe | D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 38 | BETTCHER Lily | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.