Spring Fling

E & Under Mixed Foil

Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Vergennes Union High School - Middlebury, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 ANDERSON Shannon 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 4%
2 MACIK Axel 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
3 SHAW Guinevere L. 100% 99% 87% 55% 22% 5% < 1%
3 GOLDENBOGEN Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
5 WALZ Nolan 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% - -
6 YEH Rodney 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
7 BALCH Richard Trip 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 2% - -
8 DAVIS Rick 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
9 GALLAGHER Miranda 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2% -
10 SCRIVER Owen 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 5%
11 LAMOREAUX Julie A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 42% 14% 2%
12 PERNIA Samantha 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
13 HOLLIS Michael 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
14 MAZUR Chris 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% - -
15 YOUNG Owen 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.