AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #3

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, May 5, 2024 at 2:30 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 RAU Shogun 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
2 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 82% 42% 11% 1%
3 HUA Nolan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
3 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 27%
5 JU Shang 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
6 CHI Zachary 100% 97% 75% 35% 7%
7 BOROVIKOV Sasha 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
8 REN Mark 100% 100% 92% 63% 21%
9 YE Andrew 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
10 DIRKSEN Jamie 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
11 CHO Lincoln 100% 99% 91% 60% 19%
12 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
13 LEUNG Joon 100% 94% 68% 28% 5%
14 JUNG Brandon 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1%
15 LI Ethan JW 100% 93% 60% 21% 3%
16 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 87% 51% 16% 2%
17 LIN Conner 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
18 WANG Franklin 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
19 KIM Christian 100% 51% 12% 1% -
20 LIEN Aurelius 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 6%
21 POLIAKOV Timur 100% 100% 86% 49% 14% 1%
22 MARTIN Ivory 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.