MoDuel Mother's Day Open [Women's Epee Open]

Senior Women's Épée

Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 10:00 AM

Modern Duelists Fencing Academy - Elkton, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 25% 4%
2 MURPHY Megan 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 2% -
3 RIST Beck J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 22% 3%
3 FAKTOR Emily 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 39% 12% 1%
5 BRASTED Karen (Maggie) E. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 6% -
6 SCIBEK Joya 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 18% 2%
7 VETERANA Judith 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1% -
8 ENGEL Katie 100% 98% 88% 63% 32% 10% 2% -
9 CHEN Shanshan 100% 95% 70% 34% 10% 2% - -
10 SWEET Ryleigh E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
11 TOBY Charmaine 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
12 WHITTINGTON Kelly 100% 100% 98% 89% 67% 36% 12% 2%
13 ALLEN Sarah 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - - -
14 RENZ Sarah 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 27% 7% 1%
15 SANTILLO Carolyn (Carol) E. 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1% - -
16 PAWTAN Carly 100% 97% 81% 51% 22% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.