2024 BFC Youth Series 4

Unrated Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, May 18, 2024 at 2:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 QIAN Zekai 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
2 YIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25%
3 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
3 HU Daniel 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
5 BRILLANTES Luke 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% < 1%
6 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
7 BU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
8 GE Deanna 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
9 ROPER Griffin 100% 97% 75% 36% 8% 1%
10 HU Michael 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
11 REN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
12 BENNETT Emi 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 9% 1%
13 WANG Zeyu 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
14 SHUTZER Lily 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11% 1%
15 ZHANG Zoey 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 12% 1%
16 SPERBER Miles 100% 96% 71% 34% 9% 1%
17 HAN Jiaren 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
18 DENG Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
19 BO Iris 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
20 GATES Combustion 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 4%
21 RADVANY Simone 100% 98% 79% 35% 7% -
22 HU Weijie 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
23 GOLI Arush 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
24 KERSHA Alexander 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
25 WANG George 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
26 NG Deacon 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
27 KOESTERS Florentine 100% 53% 13% 2% - -
28 TIAN Andy 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
29 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
30 SFINTESCU Emma 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5%
31 LIU Brady 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1% -
32 DUAN Desmond 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
33 GOODMAN Carden 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
34 LUO lucy 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
35 GLODE Russell 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
36 JABLOKOV Roman 100% 96% 65% 24% 4% -
37 OTTAVIANO Maris 100% 99% 91% 59% 18% 2%
38 HUDSON Sophie 100% 95% 67% 28% 7% 1% -
39 TIAN Dylan 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% - -
40 MACCIOLI Daniel 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
41 LI Christina 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 2%
42 JOHNSON Daniel 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
43 DAVE Neil 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
44 SHINDE Aksh 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 1%
45 KOESTERS Cecilie 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% - -
46 ALIMI Mousa 100% 75% 26% 5% - - -
47 WANG Wenxi 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
47 RONG Alice 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
49 LYONS Maxwell 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
50 BHOSREKAR Som 100% 91% 57% 19% 2% - -
51 WULIN Nicholas 100% 95% 57% 14% 1% - -
52 KROLEWSKI Nathaniel 100% 99% 88% 53% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.